Until the 2020 election on Nov. 3, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll is posting daily results of the race for the White House between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.




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The latest Trump vs. Biden poll finds that energized Republican voters are keeping President Donald Trump within reach of former Vice President Joe Biden.

Scroll down for demographic and other data on the race between Trump vs. Biden supporters.

Each day, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll data reflects a survey of 800-1,000 likely voters conducted over the prior five days. As in prior years, TIPP — the polling arm of nationally recognized research firm TechnoMetrica —will conduct live telephone interviews. However, TIPP will supplement phone interviews with online surveys this time to better capture younger voters.

See the final results of 2016 election tracking poll, which was one of just two polls to predict Trump’s surprise victory.

Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll

Trump Biden Jorgensen Hawkins Other Not sure
OVERALL 44.4% 49.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7%
Region
Northeast 35.9% 60.9% 1.4% 1.0%
Midwest 49.0% 42.8% 2.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.3%
South 46.5% 48.6% 1.0% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0%
West 43.0% 48.8% 5.2% 1.1%
Age
18-44 37.5% 53.0% 3.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5%
45-64 52.4% 43.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.9%
65+ 42.4% 53.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6%
Gender
Male 49.4% 45.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Female 40.0% 53.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2%
Race
White 51.9% 42.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7%
Black/Hispanic 17.4% 77.9% 0.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.8%
Income
Under $30K 38.6% 57.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9%
$30K-$50K 50.1% 41.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.2%
$50-$75K 46.4% 48.5% 2.6% 0.7% 1.7%
$75K+ 42.4% 51.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Education
High School 53.9% 41.3% 0.5% 1.4%
Some College 43.6% 47.6% 5.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.6%
College Degree or more 38.5% 56.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Party
Democrats 5.5% 92.4% 1.0%
Republicans 94.2% 4.2% 1.0%
Ind./Other 36.3% 46.7% 7.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4%
Ideology
Conservative 78.2% 18.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Moderate 27.5% 63.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 1.7%
Liberal 6.0% 89.5% 0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Investor
Yes 42.4% 53.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3%
No 47.5% 45.6% 2.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9%
Area Type
Urban 36.4% 59.9% 0.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Suburban 40.7% 52.3% 3.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Rural 57.0% 36.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.5% 2.0%
Parental Status
Parents 51.0% 44.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5%
Non-Parents 42.2% 51.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9%
White
White men 57.1% 38.7% 3.4% 0.3%
White women 47.3% 45.9% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3%
Black/Hispanic
Black 8.5% 86.5% 0.005621613 3.4% 1.0%
Hispanic 27.3% 68.3% 0.8% 1.7%
Women
Single women 34.2% 60.9% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4%
Married women 45.9% 45.6% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 1.1%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 42.3% 53.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Middle 46.5% 48.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Lower Middle 43.1% 49.1% 1.8% 2.6% 1.2% 1.2%
Lower 39.0% 56.1% 2.4%
Religion
Protestant 53.1% 41.6% 1.9% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Catholic 51.6% 46.2% 1.3% 0.9%
Other Christian 47.5% 44.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.4% 1.4%
Other 37.5% 53.4% 6.0% 1.5%
None 28.5% 68.9% 1.4%
Union Household
Yes 44.1% 49.7% 4.0% 0.5% 0.8%
No 44.9% 49.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8%
Results are based on a survey of 949 likely voters. The poll was conducted from 10/14 – 10/18. Credibility interval: +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll Results

View Prior Day Results: Oct. 18 | Oct. 17 | Oct. 16 | Oct. 15 | Oct. 14Oct. 13 | Oct. 12

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll Methodology

Out of about 200 daily interviews, TIPP will conduct 80 via cellphone, 45 via landline and 75 online.

The IBD/TIPP 2020 election poll will show results for Trump vs. Biden, as well as a four-way race including third parties.

“The IBD/TIPP poll goes where the data directs it, which is why it has been so successful over time,” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica. “Right now, data suggests a significant number of votes are still in play, and factors like COVID-19, economic stimulus and mail- in voting could have a real impact. This is a race to watch.”

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Trump Vs. Biden: The IBD/TIPP 2020 Election Presidential Tracking Poll

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IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

The post Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll For Oct. 19, 2020 appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily.

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