Until the 2020 election on Nov. 3, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll is posting daily results of the race for the White House between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.




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Joe Biden holds a solid lead over Donald Trump, as suburban and senior voters offset firmer GOP support for the president, the IBD/TIPP 2020 Presidential Election Tracking Poll finds.

Scroll down for demographic and other data on the race between Trump vs. Biden supporters.

Each day, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll data reflects a survey of 800-1,000 likely voters conducted over the prior five days. As in prior years, TIPP — the polling arm of nationally recognized research firm TechnoMetrica —will conduct live telephone interviews. However, TIPP will supplement phone interviews with online surveys this time to better capture younger voters.

See the final results of 2016 election tracking poll, which was one of just two polls to predict Trump’s surprise victory.

Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll

Trump Biden Jorgensen Hawkins Other Not sure
OVERALL 43.2% 50.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.9%
Region
Northeast 38.0% 53.8% 2.9% 2.9% 1.6%
Midwest 43.3% 49.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4%
South 46.4% 48.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0%
West 41.8% 51.2% 4.3% 0.6% 0.7%
Age
18-44 37.5% 50.8% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 1.1%
45-64 51.3% 44.9% 0.8% 0.3% 1.2%
65+ 39.3% 56.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Gender
Male 48.4% 44.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.9%
Female 38.8% 55.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9%
Race
White 50.0% 44.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7%
Black/Hispanic 18.7% 75.1% 0.8% 1.6% 0.5% 1.6%
Income
Under $30K 35.4% 59.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1%
$30K-$50K 45.9% 46.4% 1.6% 2.1% 1.0% 1.5%
$50-$75K 44.1% 50.0% 2.0% 1.4% 1.6%
$75K+ 44.7% 49.1% 2.7% 1.1% 1.0%
Education
High School 46.1% 47.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 1.7%
Some College 45.1% 46.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.5%
College Degree or more 39.9% 55.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7%
Party
Democrats 5.1% 93.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Republicans 93.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Ind./Other 36.6% 46.2% 6.8% 3.1% 1.9% 2.5%
Ideology
Conservative 77.9% 17.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Moderate 27.7% 63.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.003687107 2.2%
Liberal 6.5% 89.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5%
Investor
Yes 43.4% 52.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.4%
No 42.7% 49.1% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.7%
Area Type
Urban 38.0% 55.9% 0.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Suburban 38.0% 54.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9%
Rural 57.8% 37.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3%
Parental Status
Parents 50.3% 44.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Non-Parents 40.7% 52.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 1.1%
White
White men 55.0% 39.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.7%
White women 45.7% 48.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Black/Hispanic
Black 9.5% 85.8% 3.1% 0.9%
Hispanic 28.3% 63.9% 1.7% 3.3%
Women
Single women 33.1% 60.9% 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0%
Married women 44.5% 49.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 41.9% 51.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1%
Middle 46.5% 49.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
Lower Middle 39.8% 50.8% 2.9% 2.6% 0.9% 1.5%
Lower 30.1% 63.1% 1.7% 3.3%
Religion
Protestant 53.7% 41.0% 1.6% 0.7% 1.0%
Catholic 53.1% 45.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5%
Other Christian 47.5% 44.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 1.8%
Other 30.1% 60.1% 5.4% 1.6% 1.3%
None 25.7% 68.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.2%
Union Household
Yes 43.1% 50.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.7%
No 43.4% 50.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 1.1%
Results are based on a survey of 1,oo9 likely voters. The poll was conducted from 10/12 – 10/16. Credibility interval: +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll Results

View Prior Day Results: Oct. 16 | Oct. 15 | Oct. 14Oct. 13 | Oct. 12

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll Methodology

Out of about 200 daily interviews, TIPP will conduct 80 via cellphone, 45 via landline and 75 online.

The IBD/TIPP 2020 election poll will show results for Trump vs. Biden, as well as a four-way race including third parties.

“The IBD/TIPP poll goes where the data directs it, which is why it has been so successful over time,” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica. “Right now, data suggests a significant number of votes are still in play, and factors like COVID-19, economic stimulus and mail- in voting could have a real impact. This is a race to watch.”

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Trump Vs. Biden: The IBD/TIPP 2020 Election Presidential Tracking Poll

Clinton Vs. Trump 2016 Election Tracking Poll: Final Results

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IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

The post IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll For Oct. 17, 2020 appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily.

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